Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.448721 5.942764 6.496246 7.169974 7.978944 8.934180 10.171741
2025-01-05 4.734405 5.359202 6.110347 7.104684 8.428606 10.202417 12.908577
2025-01-12 4.135582 4.798532 5.634973 6.811794 8.510510 11.047072 15.586759
2025-01-19 3.665993 4.329124 5.195637 6.472411 8.438859 11.665147 18.421050
2025-01-26 3.505089 4.233115 5.228868 6.791302 9.434456 14.470952 28.667055
2025-02-02 3.461250 4.284389 5.469513 7.473208 11.298599 20.400509 68.403398
2025-02-09 3.333239 4.199329 5.494057 7.812890 12.713536 27.256201 304.247741
2025-02-16 3.197128 4.085354 5.454657 8.030658 14.007951 36.609092 NaN
2025-02-23 3.046810 3.933806 5.332745 8.065611 14.910419 47.764047 NaN
2025-03-02 2.855415 3.702847 5.052428 7.732460 14.681773 52.470443 NaN
2025-03-09 2.727034 3.559958 4.906296 7.648979 15.169153 66.677047 NaN
2025-03-16 2.568625 3.359219 4.642323 7.274667 14.607573 68.686405 NaN
2025-03-23 2.470847 3.259702 4.565528 7.339659 15.723577 114.537151 NaN
2025-03-30 2.369749 3.148518 4.458632 7.324500 16.636213 226.333365 NaN
2025-04-06 2.244438 2.990374 4.253339 7.048926 16.413097 337.493048 NaN
2025-04-13 2.122149 2.830707 4.033578 6.709286 15.788202 408.361636 NaN
2025-04-20 2.094205 2.824374 4.096033 7.064902 18.582083 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.104511 2.882261 4.286876 7.810773 25.000117 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.073501 2.866846 4.332610 8.187759 30.615513 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.032159 2.830235 4.331059 8.431077 36.467097 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.978226 2.767771 4.269295 8.473543 40.796247 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.898820 2.655727 4.093923 8.113057 38.716727 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.844493 2.586310 4.004673 8.023949 40.873925 NaN NaN